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  3. What Lies Ahead | June 2026

What Lies Ahead | June 2026

Image Courtesy: UK Prime Minister

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The 52nd G7 Summit at Évian will be the centrepiece of India’s June calendar, but the war in West Asia will shape almost every conversation around it. Prime Minister Narendra Modi will attend the summit at Évian-les-Bains, France, from 15 to 17 June, where India joins Brazil, Kenya, and South Korea as outreach invitees under the French presidency. The disruptions in the Bab el-Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz over recent months have damaged the main maritime corridors that carry Indian energy imports, and the issue will run through most of New Delhi’s bilateral meetings at the summit. Notably, the India-EU FTA, concluded on 27 January 2026, has not yet entered into force. The text is still being legally scrubbed on both sides, and ratification, particularly through the European Parliament, will take several more months. June is unlikely to deliver implementation, but the agreement will frame discussions at Évian and around it, especially with France, Italy, and Germany.

The trade calendar will be busy on other fronts as well. Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal’s three-day visit to Ottawa and Toronto from 25 to 27 May, with a 150-member business delegation, coincided with the second round of India-Canada CEPA negotiations in Ottawa from 25 to 29 May. In June, both sides will work through the texts produced in that round in preparation for the next one. The stated goal is to conclude CEPA by the end of 2026 and to lift bilateral trade to $50 billion by 2030. The diversification matters because India is looking for steadier sources of energy, uranium, and critical minerals, while the West Asian routes remain unreliable. June is also the month in which the India-UK CETA, signed on 24 July 2025, is expected to clear ratification and enter into force, though the UK side has not yet confirmed a date. Once it does, 99% of Indian exports to the UK become tariff-free from day one.

The political track with Africa has hit a pause. India and the African Union have postponed the Fourth India-Africa Forum Summit (IAFS-IV), originally scheduled for 28 to 31 May, in view of the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in parts of central and east Africa. New dates have not been announced. The First International Big Cat Alliance Summit (IBCA), planned for 1 to 2 June in New Delhi and originally timed to coincide with IAFS-IV, has been deferred as well. The ministry’s stated reason for the IBCA postponement is to keep African range-state participation intact rather than to hold the summit with thinner attendance.

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