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  3. The Great Indian Debate on West Asia’s New Security Order

The Great Indian Debate on West Asia’s New Security Order

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On 7 August 2026, Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan signed the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement. The public joint statement says that an armed attack against any one of the three states shall be regarded as an attack against all three, and describes the agreement as strengthening collective deterrence and defence cooperation. All three governments present it as defensive and not directed against any particular country. The public material does not specify the military obligations that would follow an attack, or establish a joint command structure or automatic operational response.

India Must Shape, Not Merely Watch, the Emerging West Asian Order

“Instead of wringing its hands over the Mecca Accord, Delhi should expand its own military engagement. Vulnerable states across the Middle East are eager to diversify their defence partnerships and have long looked to a reluctant India. India’s military diplomacy in the region has gained some recent traction. But to be a credible security actor, Delhi needs to build the capabilities to project military power into the Middle East, in tandem with deeper political and security partnerships there.”

“India should, while maintaining strategic autonomy, pivot from passive balancing toward active framework-shaping across five key priorities [Rebalance strategic relationships, Expand defence diplomacy in the Gulf, Refocus I2U2 on non-military sectors, Redesign IMEC for resilience, and Compartmentalise US–India disagreements].”

“For India, the strategic significance of Makkah may ultimately lie less in whether Riyadh would fight for Pakistan than in how the emerging Saudi–Turkish alignment reshapes the economic and connectivity architecture to India’s west.”

“The Mecca Agreement may have disturbed the balance of power in the subcontinent and given encouragement to hotheads in Islamabad. India’s strategic planners must now formulate doctrines and acquire capabilities tailored to this emerging reality.”

Do Not Overread the Pact: Its Limits, Risks and Consequences for India

“There are live military situations which each of the signatories face; what has the Makkah pact done in response to that?”

“At the most basic level, the pact is evidence that West Asia is reorganising itself around the failure of American security guarantees, and that middle powers in the region are now keen on creating their own arrangements. So, we in India should be reading this as a description of the broader strategic environment we operate in rather than as a move directed against us.”

“The Mecca defence pact signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan creates synergies that are not in India’s interest by and large, even if they do not impact India at the very outset.”

“From MEDO to CENTO to Mecca agreement, military alliances have repeatedly been offered as answers to fundamentally political problems.”

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